Live 2020 Election Turnout Tracker

Welcome to the Sixty-Six Wards Turnout Tracker! Voters across Philadelphia are sharing their turnout to support citizen science.

First, vote! Then, share your division and Voter Number at http://bit.ly/sixtysixturnout.

Live Results

As of 4:30 PM, 355 voters in 39 wards have shared their voter number. I estimate that 238,428 people have voted in person across the city (95% Confidence Interval: 211,541 - 276,403). In addition, more than 346,196 mail-in ballots have already been returned*, and 89,200 are still outstanding.

NOTE: The above mail counts are copied from the state data. There is a lag in the returned mail-ins showing up in that data. Some mail-ins that have already arrived are probably not included. In addition, all ballots postmarked today that arrive by 11/6 will be counted, as long as the Supreme Court does not interfere.

Maps

I use historic correlations among divisions’ turnout to estimate turnout in the divisions with no data yet. I simultaneously estimate (1) the overall city-wide turnout, (2) divisions’ over-/under-performance, and (3) the city-wide time pattern of voting. See the Methodology.

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In)

Total Turnout (In-Person + Mail-In) vs 2016

In-Person Turnout

Mail-In Requests

Mail-In Ballots Returned

Raw Responses (for debugging)

Submissions

Data Tables

For those of you who like tables with numbers.

Estimated Turnout by Ward
ward time_of_day turnout turnout_p025 turnout_p975
01 4:30 PM 3555 c(2.5% = 3196) c(97.5% = 4093)
02 4:30 PM 5382 c(2.5% = 4883) c(97.5% = 6250)
03 4:30 PM 3098 c(2.5% = 2619) c(97.5% = 3538)
04 4:30 PM 3070 c(2.5% = 2622) c(97.5% = 3450)
05 4:30 PM 7917 c(2.5% = 7251) c(97.5% = 9416)
06 4:30 PM 2072 c(2.5% = 1794) c(97.5% = 2467)
07 4:30 PM 2010 c(2.5% = 1328) c(97.5% = 2545)
08 4:30 PM 7312 c(2.5% = 6757) c(97.5% = 8493)
09 4:30 PM 3432 c(2.5% = 2998) c(97.5% = 4302)
10 4:30 PM 4473 c(2.5% = 3800) c(97.5% = 5522)
11 4:30 PM 1957 c(2.5% = 1647) c(97.5% = 2219)
12 4:30 PM 3366 c(2.5% = 2884) c(97.5% = 3918)
13 4:30 PM 3036 c(2.5% = 2574) c(97.5% = 3478)
14 4:30 PM 1331 c(2.5% = 1167) c(97.5% = 1583)
15 4:30 PM 3752 c(2.5% = 3393) c(97.5% = 4302)
16 4:30 PM 1635 c(2.5% = 1360) c(97.5% = 1852)
17 4:30 PM 3740 c(2.5% = 3209) c(97.5% = 4336)
18 4:30 PM 3442 c(2.5% = 3060) c(97.5% = 4110)
19 4:30 PM 1587 c(2.5% = 1176) c(97.5% = 1888)
20 4:30 PM 1494 c(2.5% = 1215) c(97.5% = 1833)
21 4:30 PM 8606 c(2.5% = 7741) c(97.5% = 10276)
22 4:30 PM 4759 c(2.5% = 4071) c(97.5% = 6086)
23 4:30 PM 2845 c(2.5% = 2376) c(97.5% = 3363)
24 4:30 PM 2356 c(2.5% = 2018) c(97.5% = 2840)
25 4:30 PM 2288 c(2.5% = 1830) c(97.5% = 2863)
26 4:30 PM 3330 c(2.5% = 2902) c(97.5% = 3833)
27 4:30 PM 3952 c(2.5% = 3015) c(97.5% = 5885)
28 4:30 PM 1743 c(2.5% = 1456) c(97.5% = 1980)
29 4:30 PM 1744 c(2.5% = 1548) c(97.5% = 2029)
30 4:30 PM 3369 c(2.5% = 3035) c(97.5% = 3867)
31 4:30 PM 2955 c(2.5% = 2525) c(97.5% = 3424)
32 4:30 PM 2879 c(2.5% = 2432) c(97.5% = 3315)
33 4:30 PM 2356 c(2.5% = 1604) c(97.5% = 3015)
34 4:30 PM 6362 c(2.5% = 5549) c(97.5% = 7548)
35 4:30 PM 4277 c(2.5% = 3559) c(97.5% = 5114)
36 4:30 PM 5288 c(2.5% = 4710) c(97.5% = 6130)
37 4:30 PM 1921 c(2.5% = 1606) c(97.5% = 2200)
38 4:30 PM 3170 c(2.5% = 2848) c(97.5% = 3656)
39 4:30 PM 6534 c(2.5% = 5748) c(97.5% = 7455)
40 4:30 PM 6625 c(2.5% = 5724) c(97.5% = 7596)
41 4:30 PM 2602 c(2.5% = 2073) c(97.5% = 3161)
42 4:30 PM 3347 c(2.5% = 2600) c(97.5% = 3978)
43 4:30 PM 2582 c(2.5% = 1977) c(97.5% = 3151)
44 4:30 PM 2064 c(2.5% = 1767) c(97.5% = 2317)
45 4:30 PM 2895 c(2.5% = 2391) c(97.5% = 3566)
46 4:30 PM 3673 c(2.5% = 3376) c(97.5% = 4588)
47 4:30 PM 1259 c(2.5% = 1092) c(97.5% = 1461)
48 4:30 PM 2926 c(2.5% = 2565) c(97.5% = 3406)
49 4:30 PM 3746 c(2.5% = 3299) c(97.5% = 4224)
50 4:30 PM 5238 c(2.5% = 4445) c(97.5% = 6879)
51 4:30 PM 3336 c(2.5% = 2860) c(97.5% = 3821)
52 4:30 PM 4134 c(2.5% = 3597) c(97.5% = 5152)
53 4:30 PM 2895 c(2.5% = 2386) c(97.5% = 3508)
54 4:30 PM 2077 c(2.5% = 1556) c(97.5% = 2649)
55 4:30 PM 3354 c(2.5% = 2655) c(97.5% = 4046)
56 4:30 PM 4890 c(2.5% = 4002) c(97.5% = 5799)
57 4:30 PM 4252 c(2.5% = 3621) c(97.5% = 5067)
58 4:30 PM 7211 c(2.5% = 6034) c(97.5% = 8578)
59 4:30 PM 3609 c(2.5% = 3146) c(97.5% = 4243)
60 4:30 PM 2928 c(2.5% = 2545) c(97.5% = 3356)
61 4:30 PM 4361 c(2.5% = 3755) c(97.5% = 5082)
62 4:30 PM 3120 c(2.5% = 2440) c(97.5% = 3852)
63 4:30 PM 4041 c(2.5% = 3483) c(97.5% = 4721)
64 4:30 PM 2301 c(2.5% = 1879) c(97.5% = 2763)
65 4:30 PM 3517 c(2.5% = 2895) c(97.5% = 4026)
66 4:30 PM 7051 c(2.5% = 6040) c(97.5% = 8344)

Raw Submissions

Submitted Data
Time of Vote Precinct Voter Number
7:10 AM 5107 2
7:41 AM 0537 24
7:42 AM 0501 14
7:43 AM 0828 33
7:03 AM 2714 2
7:40 AM 1508 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:25 AM 0214 16
7:56 AM 3636 33
7:13 AM 0218 9
8:07 AM 4603 27
8:16 AM 0218 60
8:18 AM 0222 68
8:10 AM 1810 36
8:20 AM 3635 57
8:30 AM 3110 55
8:32 AM 0532 69
8:30 AM 2707 45
8:32 AM 2702 48
8:15 AM 3901 52
8:15 AM 3640 64
8:38 AM 3638 55
8:38 AM 3637 31
8:42 AM 0525 64
8:40 AM 0501 36
7:30 AM 0202 28
8:40 AM 0537 56
8:12 AM 4616 41
8:35 AM 3909 65
8:43 AM 0517 69
8:49 AM 0834 73
8:49 AM 0206 69
8:50 AM 0828 77
8:07 AM 0801 40
7:30 AM 3640 31
7:30 AM 3104 29
8:50 AM 0213 25
8:40 AM 2717 56
8:45 AM 2101 47
8:25 AM 3945 52
7:48 AM 1503 38
7:48 AM 1503 38
9:02 AM 1503 92
7:15 AM 0902 12
8:40 AM 2717 56
7:01 AM 0807 13
9:09 AM 4701 73
8:50 AM 0213 25
9:10 AM 1514 81
7:55 AM 1517 30
9:00 AM 3914 40
8:00 AM 5702 60
8:30 AM 2105 91
8:30 AM 2105 91
9:15 AM 2714 51
8:15 AM 2605 56
9:20 AM 3637 100
9:20 AM 3638 79
8:30 AM 0521 92
9:20 AM 0532 112
9:15 AM 1802 73
9:24 AM 2911 62
9:03 AM 0229 95
9:23 AM 0812 138
8:50 AM 0828 77
9:00 AM 3107 100
9:15 AM 3639 86
9:15 AM 0120 76
9:30 AM 0308 109
9:30 AM 0807 98
9:25 AM 3610 84
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:34 AM 0818 50
9:35 AM 0817 107
8:40 AM 1514 68
8:00 AM 0106 69
8:40 AM 1514 68
9:38 AM 6008 49
9:30 AM 3636 108
7:15 AM 0114 9
9:46 AM 3111 104
9:47 AM 0204 72
9:50 AM 0505 92
9:55 AM 0528 148
9:45 AM 0224 110
9:45 AM 0224 109
7:45 AM 0517 35
9:58 AM 3636 120
9:49 AM 2212 74
8:00 AM 0817 100
10:05 AM 1503 129
10:02 AM 0517 135
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:20 AM 2217 17
8:15 AM 3516 56
7:40 AM 2105 45
10:00 AM 0110 97
9:40 AM 0222 97
10:00 AM 2622 82
10:03 AM 3006 101
8:15 AM 2619 77
10:02 AM 0835 100
10:18 AM 3104 156
10:20 AM 4701 114
7:45 AM 0516 41
10:18 AM 0515 420
8:28 AM 0516 70
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:15 AM 3641 78
9:50 AM 0505 92
10:29 AM 0509 188
10:30 AM 1513 95
8:00 AM 2113 13
10:39 AM 0537 108
10:40 AM 0501 75
10:15 AM 3115 144
10:10 AM 4603 60
9:45 AM 1517 101
10:40 AM 0206 115
10:42 AM 0505 117
10:44 AM 0834 93
9:30 AM 0807 98
10:45 AM 0807 115
10:45 AM 1503 147
10:45 AM 0309 129
10:40 AM 3629 76
10:52 AM 1717 90
10:52 AM 1717 90
7:30 AM 1802 38
10:50 AM 2706 156
10:45 AM 2713 96
10:02 AM 4622 131
11:00 AM 2707 86
11:10 AM 3113 101
8:30 AM 0201 103
8:40 AM 0824 57
11:07 AM 6008 67
8:00 AM 4601 37
11:00 AM 2208 91
9:00 AM 0822 1
11:00 AM 2101 131
10:00 AM 0101 79
10:00 AM 0102 90
10:00 AM 0103 136
10:00 AM 0104 92
10:00 AM 0105 45
10:00 AM 0106 93
10:00 AM 0107 40
10:00 AM 0108 89
10:00 AM 0109 83
10:00 AM 0110 104
10:00 AM 0111 86
10:00 AM 0112 69
10:00 AM 0113 122
10:00 AM 0114 85
10:00 AM 0115 139
10:00 AM 0116 68
10:00 AM 0117 79
10:00 AM 0118 121
10:00 AM 0119 75
10:00 AM 0120 106
10:00 AM 0121 130
11:17 AM 3943 119
11:00 AM 1811 150
11:18 AM 4701 135
11:00 AM 3103 5
11:15 AM 0526 175
11:00 AM 5904 142
8:30 AM 0504 105
11:22 AM 1503 156
9:02 AM 0120 63
8:10 AM 0819 60
11:29 AM 0213 47
9:15 AM 0904 69
11:30 AM 3914 140
11:30 AM 4920 110
10:00 AM 3945 156
11:00 AM 0102 111
11:00 AM 0108 105
11:00 AM 0109 89
11:00 AM 0107 54
11:30 AM 0833 124
11:00 AM 0104 120
7:50 AM 4622 31
11:00 AM 0105 47
11:30 AM 1810 140
11:39 AM 0834 106
11:32 AM 0116 99
11:43 AM 0537 122
11:43 AM 0501 99
11:45 AM 2702 88
11:40 AM 4808 118
11:53 AM 0528 194
11:45 AM 1815 121
11:45 AM 1816 192
11:45 AM 1817 193
11:45 AM 0217 111
11:50 AM 3610 112
11:50 AM 0217 112
12:00 PM 3637 153
12:00 PM 3638 118
9:40 AM 0218 88
12:05 PM 0110 127
9:20 AM 0803 123
9:22 AM 0803 125
11:00 AM 0209 104
7:22 AM 0506 9
12:01 PM 0101 96
12:01 PM 0103 164
12:00 PM 2125 127
12:01 PM 0107 69
12:01 PM 0110 127
12:01 PM 0114 128
12:01 PM 0115 191
12:01 PM 0117 175
12:01 PM 0119 166
12:15 PM 1503 175
12:01 PM 0121 160
10:00 AM 2702 65
12:15 PM 4903 216
7:01 AM 1511 17
12:02 PM 0526 182
12:29 PM 3103 175
12:29 PM 3113 151
10:47 AM 1507 1
12:38 PM 1716 80
11:00 AM 6522 121
12:38 PM 0528 208
12:38 PM 0528 208
11:00 AM 0120 127
12:23 PM 6008 80
7:40 AM 6509 22
8:00 AM 4618 32
12:50 PM 0525 121
12:02 PM 0831 123
12:30 PM 3007 161
12:30 PM 5217 120
12:55 PM 4002 146
7:25 AM 0532 35
12:40 PM 0529 58
1:04 PM 1902 128
1:05 PM 1903 72
1:05 PM 1904 81
1:02 PM 2702 100
1:12 PM 0834 113
8:20 AM 0810 66
12:29 PM 3113 151
1:00 PM 3609 112
7:01 AM 2122 20
1:20 PM 1514 117
1:25 PM 3006 141
1:30 PM 3914 175
1:29 PM 4320 120
1:30 PM 0517 194
11:10 AM 3105 1
1:30 PM 2701 119
7:45 AM 4616 34
9:15 AM 4125 74
1:43 PM 1717 115
1:43 PM 0537 130
1:45 PM 0817 166
8:30 AM 2605 76
1:43 PM 0501 133
1:45 PM 0818 88
1:43 PM 1717 115
10:40 AM 1510 121
1:45 PM 1810 188
1:48 PM 3943 160
1:51 PM 3637 170
1:52 PM 3638 137
1:45 PM 1817 238
2:00 PM 3103 194
9:00 AM 2719 1
2:05 PM 4701 166
1:45 PM 2911 109
8:00 AM 0510 63
10:30 AM 3942 90
8:00 AM 4616 49
2:25 PM 6414 114
2:27 PM 0834 124
2:28 PM 1810 216
2:28 PM 1503 202
2:30 PM 1802 139
2:30 PM 2706 220
2:30 PM 1801 204
11:00 AM 0914 46
2:36 PM 1514 125
2:15 PM 3909 158
2:37 PM 4616 153
1:50 PM 3002 131
7:05 AM 2622 6
2:47 PM 2133 268
8:02 AM 0815 48
11:45 AM 1817 193
12:35 PM 3634 92
7:40 AM 3602 16
2:59 PM 0532 215
2:59 PM 0517 210
9:30 AM 1508 100
2:00 PM 0813 128
3:10 PM 0537 135
3:10 PM 0501 140
3:11 PM 0505 173
2:00 PM 2314 177
3:11 PM 0505 173
2:50 PM 4617 154
10:00 AM 0537 50
3:20 PM 6008 102
10:10 AM 4623 72
3:20 PM 6012 143
8:00 AM 3636 75
3:21 PM 6023 141
8:15 AM 6324 27
3:22 PM 6002 164
3:22 PM 1509 154
3:23 PM 6001 98
3:06 PM 0831 156
3:28 PM 3943 179
8:22 AM 3104 82
8:47 AM 4042 73
3:35 PM 3637 190
3:35 PM 3637 160
3:00 PM 0213 65
3:34 PM 3111 202
10:45 AM 0807 115
3:54 PM 0525 148
10:45 AM 0807 115
8:00 AM 4616 53
4:00 PM 3714 215
3:57 PM 4618 86
3:58 PM 4608 130
4:00 PM 4701 192
9:14 AM 0912 90
4:05 PM 0818 102
4:05 PM 0817 187
2:00 PM 0101 149
4:11 PM 3914 207
2:00 PM 0102 160
2:00 PM 0103 188
4:00 PM 6507 460
4:20 PM 1716 103
11:00 AM 3006 125
4:00 PM 3935 208
7:15 AM 2714 100
4:00 PM 3925 215
3:45 PM 5823 393
4:25 PM 3943 196
4:15 PM 1816 264
4:15 PM 1817 292
4:27 PM 2714 126
4:27 PM 2723 153
4:15 PM 0525 151
4:30 PM 0834 133
8:00 AM 4202 41

Download the csvs: - Raw Submissions - Division Predictions